Knowledge Engine

Statistical Models Library

The mathematical engines that power modern incrementality. Understand the "Why" and "How" behind every decision.

Bayesian Structural Time Series (BSTS)

Measure true causal impact when experiments aren’t possible.

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Hierarchical Bayesian Media Mix Modeling (HB-MMM)

Understand how marketing impact differs across regions, segments, and business units—without losing statistical rigor.

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Distributed Lag Models (DLNM)

Understand when marketing creates revenue—not just whether it does.

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Generalized Additive Models (GAMs)

See exactly where spend stops working—and where it still does.

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Hidden Markov Models (HMMs)

Know which phase of growth you’re in—before your dashboards make it obvious.

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State-Space Models

What part of revenue is real trend—and what part is just noise?

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Quantile Regression

Understand best-case, worst-case, and typical outcomes—not just the average.

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Survival Analysis (Cox Proportional Hazards)

Understand how long outcomes take—not just whether they happen.

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Multivariate Cointegration Models

Which metrics move together long-term?

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Vector Autoregression (VAR)

How channels influence each other over time.

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Gaussian Process Regression (GPR)

How do we forecast with uncertainty, not false precision?

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Change Point Detection

Identify exactly when something changed—before narratives form and mistakes compound.

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Uplift Modeling (Causal ML)

Who should we market to—and who we shouldn’t.

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Synthetic Control Models

Answer “what would have happened otherwise” when real experiments aren’t possible.

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Stochastic Frontier Analysis

What is the maximum possible efficiency?

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Markov Switching Regression

Model relationships that change over time—not ones frozen in the past.

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Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA)

Which model should we trust?

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Copula Models

Understand how things break together—not just how they behave on average.

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Dynamic Panel Data Models (Arellano–Bond)

How behavior evolves across entities over time.

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Reinforcement Learning (Budget Allocation Agent)

How should budgets adapt continuously?

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