Marketing Incrementality

The classic model. Measure True ROAS and optimize allocation.

Stop guessing. Use causal incrementality to measure exactly what works and what simply takes credit.

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This is exactly what you get when you run your data.

Marketing Incrementality

Isolate the true revenue uplift caused by your marketing spend, excluding organic and baseline sales.

Multivariate Regression with Holdout Groups
True ROAS
2.28x

Incremental Return

Incremental Rev
₹3.4L

Lift Generated

Unattributed Rev
₹0.6L

Halo Effect

Confidence
95%

Statistical Significance

Primary AnalysisLive Data
Main visualization of key metric drivers
Key Insights

Generated 2.28x True ROAS with ₹342,000 incremental lift.

Model Fit (R²):0.91
Total Spend:150,000
Logic Used
  • Baseline Revenue calculated using historical organic trends.
  • Incremental Lift = Total Revenue - Baseline Revenue.
  • tROAS derived from pure incremental lift divided by ad spend.
Data Transparency
Full breakdown of the underlying data points for verification.

Channel Performance & Optimization

ChannelCurrent SpendAttributed RevRecommendedOptimizationiROAS (Current)ROAD (Forecast)
Facebook48.2K140.0K60.3K+25%2.80x3.20x
Google48.2K91.7K36.2K-25%1.90x2.15x
Direct24.1K120.5K24.1K0%5.00x5.00x

Model Transparency & DetailsR²: 88.0% | MAPE: 12.5%

DateActual RevenuePredictedResidual (Diff)InterceptFacebook ContributionGoogle ContributionDirect Contribution
11/22/20258,3607,600760 (10%)₹5002,6601,9002,540
11/23/20258,4447,676768 (10%)₹5002,6871,9192,570
11/24/20258,5277,752775 (10%)₹5002,7131,9382,601
11/25/20258,6117,828783 (10%)₹5002,7401,9572,631
11/26/20258,6947,904790 (10%)₹5002,7661,9762,662

Methodology

How SpendSignal calculates Marketing Incrementality

The Logic

1. Calculate True ROAS vs Last-Touch ROAS. 2. Determine the Incrementality Score for each channel. 3. Provide specific budget reallocation recommendations to maximize total revenue.

Input Data Required

  • Date Column
  • Spend per Channel
  • Revenue / Conversions

Output Deliverables

  • Executive Dashboard
  • Strategic Insights
  • Downloadable PDF

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